The 2023 PGA Championship begins Wednesday from Oak Hill Country Club in Rochester, New York. World No. 1 Jon Rahm and World No. 2 Scottie Scheffler tops the list of great golfers poised to capture the Wanamaker Trophy at the end of this weekend. Scheffler enters the second major of the year on a hot streak, with a strong finish at the AT&T Byron Nelson and two victories (Phoenix Open and Players Championship).
Can Scheffler continue his streak or will Rahm become the first man to win his first two major championships in one season since Jordan Spieth?
Where is the value of betting? Will the favorites prevail? Our golf and betting experts break down everything you need to know to bet on the 2023 PGA Championship.
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Picked by experts to win | Select bet value to win | Amazing golfers | Props and more
Chosen by experts
Tory Barron, ESPN.com
winner: Brooks Koepka: Remember the scene in “Billy Madison” when Adam Sandler’s character gets a dodgeball and tells the rest of the class, “now you’re in big, big trouble?” That’s the energy I expect a healthy “Big-game Brooks” to bring to the PGA Championship — an event he’s won twice before — fresh off his second-place finish at Augusta.
Elizabeth Baugh, ESPN.com
winner: Rory McIlroy: A lot of people talk about the damage the game did against McIlroy, but the truth is, he can’t be counted out. Oak Hill is a course he is familiar with and it suits his game (he needs that distance off the tee). The time that worries others will not be an issue for him.
Michael Collins, ESPN
winner: Jon Rahm: Haven’t we seen this movie before? McIlroy, Jordan Spieth, Jason Day, Dustin Johnson, Koepka … they all went through a stretch where they looked unbeatable. Rahm is in that mode right now. And winning the first two legs of the Grand Slam would light the fuse in the golf world.
Michael Eaves, ESPN
winner: Tony Finau: In the shadows of Rahm and Scottie Scheffler, Finau has quietly put together a strong start to the season. And most importantly, he has the game and now the confidence to finally break through for his first major championship.
Peter Lawrence-Riddell, ESPN.com
winner: Tony Finau: He looks like the favorite for the “first-time major winner” heading into Oak Hill. Won twice on tour this year and finished in the top 25 in 11 of 14 events played. Plus, seeing him with his family on Sunday would be great.
winner: Xander Schauffele: He plays well. Now it’s time for his major victory!
winner: Xander Schauffele: Sooner or later, Schauffele will win a major, so why not this week? He tied for 10th at the Masters, his 16th top-25 finish in 23 starts at the majors. He leads the tour in approach shots from 150 yards to 175 yards, which will be important at Oak Hill, and he is in the top 10 in shots gained: approach to green (0.961), tee to green (1.510) and total (2.065). He has finished in the top 10 in his past four starts in stroke-play events, including a runner-up finish at the Wells Fargo Championship, so he has plenty of momentum.
Curtis Strange, ESPN
winner: Scottie Scheffler: The short game is a deciding factor in this tournament, and he is the No. 1 in the world in strokes gained off the tee.
Paolo Uggetti, ESPN.com
winner: Tony Finau: It’s finally time. Finau has always had the game and talent of a major winner, but he has fallen short many times. He dispelled the notion that he couldn’t win by winning four PGA Tour events over the past two seasons. If it happens soon, the PGA Championship at Oak Hill seems to be the place for it.
Scott Van Pelt, ESPN
winner: Scottie Scheffler: It’s shocking that he didn’t make the cut last year on the course he loves. He’s played well and could add a second major here in a place that suits him.
winner: Rory McIlroy: His wife is from the Rochester area, and she’s a member of Oak Hill, and there’s no greater motivation in the world than to impress your in-laws.
Choose the bet value to win
Our betting experts give you picks to win based on value. We take a look at the betting board and tell you who has the best chance of cashing in on your ticket.
Anita Marks, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Scottie Scheffler (+650)
Why he can win: Scheffler finished in the top 5 last week at the Byron Nelson and could have won if his flatstick was good. He has a T-10 finish at the Masters and seven top 10s in 14 majors. Scheffler has roots of steel on the big stage. He ranks first in Greens in Regulation , Strokes Gained Tee-to-Green and par 4 scoring this season.
Tyler Fulghum, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Collin Morikawa (28-1)
Why he can win: Morikawa’s value is too great to pass up here. He is a two-time major champion — including the 2020 PGA Championship at TPC Harding Park. He has consistently played his best golf in the majors with six top-10 finishes in his last major starts. With Oak Hill extended and the fairways still tight, he has the kind of length/accuracy combo needed to score well on this course.
Michael Collins, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Dustin Johnson (25-1)
Why he can win: I cannot for the life of me understand how Johnson is 25-1. When DJ tells us he’s good, we have to believe him.
Doug Kezirian, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Cameron Young (30-1)
Why he can win: Armed with a new caddy and length off the tee, Young could thrive at Oak Hill as long as his short game is decent. He was solid last calendar year with three top-seven finishes in the last four majors. Hopefully this will be his breakthrough.
Joe Fortenbaugh, ESPN betting analyst
Winner: Sungjae Im (35-1)
Why he can win: If Collin Morikawa is 10th on tour in strokes gained: Total and enters the PGA Championship with six consecutive top-20 finishes and three consecutive top-8 finishes, it will likely be seen you priced him in the neighborhood of 22-1. But the resume I gave you is not Morikawa’s, it is Sungjae Im’s, who is priced at 35-1. This is what we call “value.”
Odds of winning the 2023 PGA Championship
Props and more
Our betting experts have more than bets to win. Here are some props to focus on for the entire event, from top 10s to made cuts to tournament matchups.
Tony Finau top-10 finish (+210)
Marks: Finau is looking to win his first major, has four wins on tour since July, and recently won in Mexico. He was in the top 15 in greens in regulation and ranked 11th in the world. It’s Tony Time this week.
Rory McIlroy top-10 finish (+140)
Fulghum: What happened to Rory? I don’t care personally. He’s very good and has a great track record of majors not “buying the dip.” Oak Hill — which is long and has narrow fairways — should play to its strengths perfectly. I bet he showed up big this weekend and silenced the nagging critics.
Rickie Fowler top-5 finish (12-1)
Collins: Beware the allergy stricken golfer. Fowler has been outside the top 20 once in his past 7 starts.